A Mathematical Theory of Hints : An Approach to the Dempster-Shafer Theory of Evidence (Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems .425) (1995. xiii, 422 S. 9 SW-Abb.,. 229 mm)

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English

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The subject of the book is an approach to the modeling of and the reasoning under uncertainty. It develops the Dempster-Shafer Theory as a theory of the reliability of reasoning with uncertain arguments. A particular interest of this approach is that it yields a new synthesis and integration of logic and probability theory. The reader will benefit from a new view at uncertainty modeling which extends classical probability theory.

The subject of the book is an approach to the modeling of and the reasoning under uncertainty. It develops the Dempster-Shafer Theory as a theory of the reliability of reasoning with uncertain arguments. A particular interest of this approach is that it yields a new synthesis and integration of logic and probability theory. The reader will benefit from a new view at uncertainty modeling which extends classical probability theory. 1. Introductory Examples.- 2. The Mathematical Concept of a Hint.- 3. Support, Credibility, Plausibility and Possibility.- 4. Combining Hints.- 5. Probabilistic Assumption-Based Reasoning.- 6. Rule-Based Systems With Unreliable Rules.- 7. Compatible Frames of Discernment.- 8. Reasoning on Compatible Frames.- 9. Statistical Inference.- 10. Describing Uncertainty in Dynamical Systems.- 11. Diagnostics.- 12. Temporal and Spatial Reasoning.- 13. The General Model of a Hint.- 14. Structure of Support and Plausibility.- 15. Dempster's Rule in the General Case.- 16. Closed Random Intervals.- References.

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